Premier League Relegation Predictions 2024/25 Season

It’s Premier League relegation time – a saga of survival, a testament to tenacity, and the season-long drama that keeps us all on our toes.

You know the drill: 20 teams enter, but only 17 get to stay, with three teams facing the stark reality of relegation.

Figuring out who’ll be doing the walk of shame to the Championship isn’t just a popular pastime in the UK – it’s practically a national sport!

Our obsession with this high-stakes spectacle runs so deep we readily place bets on the unfortunate teams destined to take a tumble down the football hierarchy.

So, settle in, and us as we evaluate the odds, weigh the probabilities, and predict which clubs could be teetering on the brink of relegation at the end of the 2024-25 season.

This Season’s Prime Candidates For The Drop

The odds are not surprising with the three teams who were promoted from the Championship at the end of last season in prime contention to go straight back down again.

One or two may stumble, but it’s unlikely that all three will be circling the drain at the end of the season.

Southampton is currently propping up the table, languishing in 20th spot based on goal difference. Will it stay that way?

There’s a very long way to go, and the odds will change significantly as the season progresses.

But if you think you can see the writing on the wall and have an inkling as to which teams are doomed, the odds are all below…

Team	Odds
Southampton	1/25
Ipswich	1/2
Leicester	8/13
Wolves	8/11
Everton	100/30
Crystal Palace	10/1
Manchester City	10/1
West Ham	20/1
Brentford	40/1
Nottingham Forest	150/1
Fulham	250/1
Bournemouth	250/1
Brighton & Hove Albion	250/1
Aston Villa	500/1
Newcastle	500/1
Manchester United	500/1
Tottenham Hotspur	500/1

Southampton

Southampton’s situation in the Premier League appears increasingly dire, with multiple factors pointing to their likely relegation.

The Saints currently sit at the bottom of the table with just six points from their first half of the season, which is worse than Derby County’s infamous 2007-08 campaign at the same stage.

The recent managerial change from Russell Martin to Ivan Juric has failed to spark a revival, with the team taking just one point from their first three games under the Croatian coach.

Their attacking woes are particularly concerning, having scored only 12 goals this season (the lowest in the league), while conceding 44 goals.

The statistics paint a grim picture and no Southampton player has scored more than twice in the top flight this season, highlighting their severe offensive struggles.

According to the Opta supercomputer, Southampton has a mere 0.7% chance of avoiding relegation.

Historical precedent also works against them – in the Premier League era, no team has ever survived after having such a poor points tally at this stage of the season.

Even more concerning is that no team in Premier League history that changed managers while bottom of the league has managed to avoid relegation.

With this combination of poor form, statistical indicators, and historical precedents, Southampton appear destined for Championship football next season.

Ipswich

Ipswich Town’s Premier League survival hopes appear increasingly precarious, with several key indicators suggesting they are prime candidates for relegation.

The Tractor Boys currently sit in 18th place with a concerning record of just 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses this season so far.

Despite showing fighting spirit, as evidenced in their recent 2-2 draw with Fulham and surprise victory over Chelsea, they lack the consistent quality needed for Premier League survival.

The club has attempted to address their defensive vulnerabilities by bringing in Ben Godfrey on loan from Atalanta, responding to a defence that has conceded 35 goals this season, the fourth-worst record in the league. However, this may be too little too late.

Their position in the relegation zone, combined with their poor goal difference and struggling home form, suggests they face an uphill battle to maintain their top-flight status, with only Southampton and Leicester City performing worse in the current campaign.

Leicester City

It’s no shocker that one of the bookies’ favourite to go down is Leicester City. The club is facing an almost insurmountable number of issues not least of which is a possible points deduction.

The club is expected to face sanctions for breaching profit and sustainability rules which relate to the Club’s financial loss of £215.3 million ($278.6m) between 2020-23.

This exceeded the £105m ($135.9m) limit over three years and the EFL have now ed their investigation to the Premier League who could slap a heft deduction on the club.

Leicester City have lost their manager, Enzo Maresca who went to Chelsea, and several key players from their Championship-winning campaign last season which has weakened the squad considerably.

And, overall, there are concerns about the quality of Leicester’s squad compared to other Premier League teams.

As a newly promoted team, they are in for the fight of their lives and will need to quickly adapt to have any real chance of staying in the EPL.

Leicester City’s Premier League survival hopes look increasingly bleak, with multiple indicators pointing toward relegation.

The Foxes currently sit 19th in the table with just 14 points from 20 games, having managed only 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses this season.

Everton

For the third consecutive season, Everton were living on the edge, teetering perilously close to parting ways with Premier League football.

Marking their 69th continuous year in England’s top flight, the Toffees evaded the drop in 2024 after a run of good form in April and May saw them bag 13 points.

That was enough to take them out of the danger zone and they ended the season on 40 points after they were deducted eight by the EPL.

Everton have tried to come of the gates fighting but they are still literally playing for survival.

Another nerve-wracking season is on the horizon for the Goodison Park faithful.

What is Relegation? A Quick Primer

For those of you who might be new to the game or those seasoned veterans looking for a refresher, here’s the skinny on relegation.

Think of the Premier League as a grand musical chair contest, where 20 teams scramble around 17 chairs when the music (or rather, the season) stops.

The unfortunate three who fail to find a seat when the music ends are sent packing to the Championship.

Meanwhile, three top performers from the Championship will the Premier League’s musical extravaganza next season.

This dance is known as relegation and promotion. It’s as much a part of football as diving strikers and being charged £18 for a cold hotdog and a warm can of Vimto.

Historic Relegations

Relegation has been a part of the English football landscape for many years. Stoke City was the first team ever to suffer relegation from the top flight back in 1890.

But since then, many teams have suffered the same fate as Stoke.

Some of the most famous teams to have experienced relegation include Manchester United, Liverpool, Leeds United and Arsenal.

However, Manchester City is the only team relegated in the season after winning the league title (1938).

Manchester City: A Rollercoaster Ride in English Football

Today, Man City are a household name, often battling it out with the big boys for the Premier League title. But they’ve had their share of hardships.

They first tasted the bitterness of relegation in the 1901-02 season, tumbling from the First Division to the Second. Nevertheless, they returned to the top flight a year later.

The real rollercoaster ride for City started in the 80s. The team was relegated to the Second Division in the 1982-83 season.

They managed to claw their way back up to the top tier in 1985, but the yo-yoing continued as they were relegated in 1987, promoted in 1989, and relegated in 1996.

The Fall From Grace

But the real fall from grace came in 1998 when they were relegated to the third tier of English football, then known as Division Two (now League One), for the first time in their history.

The proud Manchester side was playing against teams like Macclesfield Town and Colchester United – a far cry from their usual heavyweight adversaries.

The Rise From the Ashes

Fortunately for City fans, the club started ascending, earning promotion to Division One in 1999 and finally back into the Premier League.

It was a long road, but one that made their current success all the sweeter.

As City fans would tell you, it’s not just about the destination but the journey!

Luton Town: The Cinderella Story of Football

From top tier to troubled times, on the other end of the spectrum, we have Luton Town – a club whose journey is nothing short of a footballing fairy tale.

Luton’s voyage in the English football pyramid is a story of resilience, determination, and unwavering love for the beautiful game.

Luton’s last stint in the top tier of English football ended in the 1995-96 season. After this, they faced a difficult period, with a series of relegations pushing them down the football pyramid.

The Wilderness Years

The real heartbreak came in the early 2000s, with Luton Town suffering three consecutive relegations from the Championship to the Conference Premier (fifth tier of English football), between 2006 and 2009.

The Hatters, as they’re affectionately known, found themselves in a football wilderness, rubbing shoulders with semi-professional teams and playing in stadiums that were a far cry from the grandeur of their Kenilworth Road home.

Climbing Back Up

However, they refused to be defeated. They climbed back into the Football League by winning the Conference Premier in the 2013-14 season, then earned two successive promotions from League Two to the Championship between 2017 and 2019.

The Ultimate Comeback

Luton Town then ascended to the Premier League for the 2023/24 season.

Sadly, it only lasted for one season before they became the third team unable to avoid the drop and back down into the Championship they went for 2024-25.

Understanding the Game: Factors Impacting Relegation

Team Quality and Depth
This is the most obvious one. Teams with a high calibre of players and sufficient squad depth are generally better equipped to avoid the drop.

These clubs have the resources to bring in quality reinforcements during the transfer window, which can make a significant difference in the long run.

It’s like having a multi-tool in your pocket – you’re better prepared for whatever the game throws.

Managerial Stability
Teams that frequently chop and change their managers tend to be more vulnerable to relegation.

A new manager often means a unique playing style, and players may take time to adapt.

It’s like trying to perform a choreographed dance routine when the choreographer keeps changing – chaos usually ensues!

Injuries and Suspensions
Injuries to key players or suspensions can severely weaken a team, particularly those with smaller squads.

, you can’t win a match with your star striker sitting in the physio room, as much as he might enjoy the massage chair.

Fixture Congestion
Teams involved in multiple competitions (like cup tournaments) might have to deal with a crowded fixture list.

This can lead to player fatigue, leading to poor performances and results.

It’s like being asked to run a marathon immediately after finishing a sprint – you’re likely to be exhausted, and it won’t be pretty.

Psychological Factors
Never underestimate the power of momentum and morale in football.

Teams stuck in a losing rut might find it difficult to break out of it due to the negative psychological impact. Confidence can be as crucial as skill in this beautiful game.

It’s like stepping onto a dance floor – if you believe you’ve got the moves, you’re halfway there.

The ‘New Manager Bounce’
Changing a manager can have an immediate positive impact on a team’s results.

However, this ‘new manager bounce’ can be unpredictable and isn’t guaranteed to save a team from relegation.

It’s like a surprise bonus question on a test – it might help, but you’d better know the rest of the material too!

, football is as unpredictable as it is exciting.

You could have all the factors in your favour and still get relegated – that’s the beauty and brutality of the game!