The Premier League is one of the most-watched football leagues in the world, with millions of fans tuning in every week to watch their favourite teams compete.
As we head into 2025, the focus has shifted to the race for the top 4 spots at the end of season, which guarantees a spot in the UEFA Champions League.
With so much at stake, it’s no surprise that many fans and punters alike are keen to bet on who will finish in the top 4 spots.
In this blog post, we will provide some tips for betting on the EPL top four finishers, along with some stats on which teams have finished highest in the Premier League over the past ten years.
2024/25 Premier League Top 4 Odds
The 2023-24 season finished with Manchester City as winners on 91 points, with the title coming down to the wire on the last day of the league.
So, it was no surprise when the bookies made them favourites (Evens) to win the title again.
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But things have not gone to plan for Guardiola and City are now a slightly embarrassing 14/1 to win the league outright.
Instead it is Liverpool who are now the odds on favourites to take the title on less than generous odds of 8/11. With 11 wins from 15 games (and another in hand) they currently top the table on 36 points, just two ahead of their nearest rivals, Chelsea.
The league table is constantly changing and a good run can change a club’s fortunes so until it is mathematically a done deal with the points, most teams are still in with a shot of a top 4 place.
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1/50 |
| Liverpool | 1/50 |
| Chelsea | 1/12 |
| Man City | 2/5 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11/2 |
| Man Utd | 6/1 |
| Newcastle | 9/1 |
| Aston Villa | 10/1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 14/1 |
| Bournemouth | 20/1 |
| Fulham | 20/1 |
| Nottm Forest | 20/1 |
| Brentford | 80/1 |
| West Ham | 250/1 |
| Crystal Palace | 250 |
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Tip 1: Look at the current standings
The first thing to consider when betting on the Premier League top 4 finishers in the current standings.
The team that is currently leading the league is likely to be one of the favourites to finish in the top four.
However, it’s also important to look at the teams that are close behind, as they may be able to overtake the leaders in the remaining fixtures.
Given that Manchester City won the Premier League for an unprecedented fourth consecutive time, they were the bookies favourites to win the tournament again in 2024-25.
But football is a funny ole game and Pep Guardiola is facing an unmitigated disaster at the Ethiad with only eight wins from 16, leaving his team in fifth place.
That currently leaves Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest in the top four places.
Of course, that doesn’t mean they will finish in that order and with Bournemouth, Aston Villa and Fulham knocking on the door, it will be all to play for.
Tip 2: Consider the team’s recent form
Another important factor to consider when betting on the top four finishers is a team’s recent form.
A team that has been winning consistently in the last few games is likely to have a better chance of finishing in the top four than a team that has been struggling to get results.
It’s also worth considering the team’s form against other top teams in the league, as this will give you an idea of how well they are likely to perform against their closest rivals.
Tip 3: Look at the team’s previous performance
Looking at a team’s previous performance in the Premier League can also give you an idea of their chances of finishing in the top four.
Over the past ten years, the following teams have finished in the top four positions in the Premier League:
- Manchester City – 10 times
- Liverpool – 7 times
- Chelsea – 6 times
- Manchester United – 6 times
- Tottenham Hotspur – 5 times
- Arsenal – 4 times
Based on this data, it’s clear that Manchester City is the most consistent team in the league, having finished in the top four for the past ten consecutive seasons.
However, it’s worth noting that other teams, such as Chelsea and Liverpool, have also been consistent performers over the past decade.
Tip 4: Don’t forget about surprises
Finally, it’s worth ing that the Premier League is known for its surprises, and there is always a chance that a team outside of the current top four could sneak into the top spots.
I doubt many people would have bet on Aston Villa finishing fourth in the 2023-24 season.
Leicester City famously won the league in the 2015/16 season despite being 5000/1 outsiders at the start of the campaign.
It’s also worth considering that injuries and suspensions can have a big impact on a team’s performance, so it’s important to keep an eye on the news and any updates regarding team selection.
Conclusion:
Betting on the top four finishers in the Premier League can be a great way to add some excitement to the season.
When making your bets, it’s important to consider the team’s current form, their recent performance, and their history in the league.
And before you part with any of your cash, keep an eye out on the Summer transfer window. A couple of strategic gs could boost a team’s chances considerably.
It’s also worth ing that the Premier League is full of surprises, so there is always a chance that an outsider could upset the odds.
With the race for the top four heating up, now is a great time to place your bets and see if you can predict the final standings.
